The role of tobacco taxes in starting and quitting smoking: duration analysis of British data

The role of tobacco taxes in starting and quitting smoking: duration analysis of British data
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DOI:
10.1111/1467-985x.00217
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发表时间:
2001-01-01
影响因子:
2
通讯作者:
Jones, AM
Jones, AM
中科院分区:
数学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Forster, M;Jones, AM

文献摘要

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最近的吸烟问题白色文件建议每年将烟草税真实的增幅提高5%,这再次确认了英国历届政府的承诺,即以高于通胀的幅度提高烟草税,以鼓励人们戒烟。本文提出了证据的决定因素开始和戒烟的英国健康和生活方式调查的数据,是第一个确定税收弹性开始和戒烟使用英国的数据。自我报告的个人吸烟史加上一个长的时间序列的税率对香烟构建一个纵向数据集。估计获得的影响,高于通货膨胀税的增长对开始吸烟的年龄和吸烟的年数。开始吸烟年龄的税收弹性估计为男性0.16,女性0.08。戒烟的税收弹性估计为男性-0.60,女性-0.46。这些都是强大的不同规格。
The annual 5% increase in tobacco taxes in real terms proposed in the recent White Paper on smoking has reaffirmed the commitment of successive UK Governments to above-inflation increases in tobacco taxation to encourage people to stop smoking. This paper presents evidence on the determinants of starting and quitting smoking by using data from the British Health and Lifestyle Survey and is the first to identify tax elasticities for starting and quitting smoking using British data. Self-reported individual smoking histories are coupled with a long time series for the tax rate on cigarettes to construct a longitudinal data set. Estimates are obtained for the effect of above-inflation tax rises on the age of starting smoking and the number of years of smoking. The estimates of the tax elasticity of the age of starting smoking are 0.16 for men and 0.08 for women. The estimates of the tax elasticity of quitting are -0.60 for men and -0.46 for women. These are robust to different specifications.