Global bioenergy potentials through 2050
Global bioenergy potentials through 2050
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DOI：
10.1016/s0961-9534(00)00074-x
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发表时间：
2001-01-01
影响因子：
6
通讯作者：
Schrattenholzer, L
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Fischer, G;Schrattenholzer, L
提出了到 2050 年世界区域可持续利用生物质作为能源的潜力的估计。估计的潜力与奥地利国际应用系统分析研究所开发的农业生产和土地利用情景一致。因此，他们避免了土地利用不一致，特别是农业和生物能源土地利用之间的冲突。为了说明在哪些情况下可以在实践中利用大部分潜力，我们总结了 IIASA 和世界能源理事会制定的经济高增长和温室气体排放低的全球能源情景。在这种情况下，到 2050 年，生物能源将占全球一次能源的 15%。我们的估算方法是透明且可重复的。可根据要求提供计算机程序，用于在可能改变的假设下重复计算估计值。 (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. 保留所有权利。
Estimates of world regional potentials of the sustainable use of biomass for energy uses through the year 2050 are presented. The estimated potentials are consistent with scenarios of agricultural production and land use developed at the International institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria. They thus avoid inconsistent land use, in particular conflicts between the agricultural and bioenergy land use. As an illustration of the circumstances under which a large part of this potential could be used in practice, a global energy scenario with high economic growth and low greenhouse gas emissions, developed by IIASA and the World Energy Council is summarised. In that scenario, bioenergy supplies 15% of global primary energy by 2050. Our estimation method is transparent and reproducible. A computer program to repeat the calculation of the estimates with possibly changed assumptions is available on request. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.