Modelling locational choices of older adults in China, 2010–2015
Modelling locational choices of older adults in China, 2010–2015
复制标题
DOI：
10.1016/j.apgeog.2023.102954
复制
发表时间：
2023-06
影响因子：
4.9
通讯作者：
Cuiying Huang;Ye Liu;Zehan Pan;Rongwei Wu
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Cuiying Huang;Ye Liu;Zehan Pan;Rongwei Wu
本研究利用2015年全国1%人口抽样调查的微观数据样本，首次尝试在中国大陆30个省份中考察地域属性和个人特征在多大程度上共同影响老年人的选择。二进制logit模型的结果表明，老年人的决定是否移动的人口特征，社会经济地位和健康状况的影响，而生活成本较低的省份，较差的自然和人为的设施，以及大量的儿童外流有较高的倾向，老年人外移。从条件logit模型的结果表明，生活成本，医疗服务，公共绿色区域，温差，孙辈的位置，迁移距离发挥了显着的作用，影响老年人的选择搬到哪里。各省因素对决定移居何处的影响因个人的年龄、社会经济地位和目的地的城乡划分而异。本文通过深入研究老年人区位选择的异质性以及调查与家庭和设施相关的迁移驱动因素，丰富了我们对中国老年人口迁移的认识。
Using the microdata samples of the 2015 1% national population sample survey, this study makes the first attempt to investigate the extent to which regional attributes and personal characteristics jointly affect older adults' choices among the 30 provinces of mainland China. Results from the binary logit model indicated that older adults' decisions of whether to move were affected by their demographic characteristics, socio-economic status, and health status, while provinces with a lower cost of living, poorer natural and man-made amenities, and a larger outflow of children had a higher propensity of older out-migration. Results from the conditional logit models indicated that the cost of living, medical services, public green areas, temperature difference, the location of grandchildren, and migration distance played a significant role in affecting older adults' choices of where to move. The effect of provincial factors on the decisions of where to move turned out to vary by individuals' age, socio-economic status, and urban-rural division of destination. This paper enriches our knowledge about older migration in China by delving into the heterogeneity in older people's locational choices and by investigating migration drivers related to family and amenities.