Rendering climate change governable by risk: From probability to contingency
Rendering climate change governable by risk: From probability to contingency
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使气候变化受风险控制：从概率到偶然性
DOI：
10.1016/j.geoforum.2011.09.007
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Angela Oels
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Angela Oels
在本文中，我使用福柯的治理的概念来调查气候变化的风险管理的变化。在一次和二次来源的探索性分析中，我证明了气候变化的风险结构从1988年到2010年发生了显着变化。风险构建已经扩大，相关政策现在包括减缓、适应和备灾。此外，我证明了“安全”的含义和相关的风险管理模式已经随着时间的推移而改变。我表明，传统的科学为基础的风险管理一直占主导地位的缓解和适应政策。自2003年以来，气候变化作为一个安全问题的表述表明了通过应急进行风险管理。我认为，哥本哈根学派所研究的“失败的证券化”的气候变化和缺乏非常措施，以遏制温室气体排放更好地理解为“气候化”的安全。自2007年以来，政府的理由一直是准备和管理未缓解的气候变化的“不可避免的”主要和次要影响。
In this paper, I use Foucault’s concept of governmentality to investigate changes in the risk management of climate change. In an exploratory analysis of primary and secondary sources, I demonstrate that the risk construction of climate change has shifted significantly from 1988 to 2010. Risk construction has broadened, and related policies now include mitigation, adaptation and disaster preparedness. Furthermore, I demonstrate that the meaning of ‘security’ and the related modes of risk management have shifted over time. I show that traditional science-based risk management has been dominant in mitigation and adaptation policy. The articulation of climate change as a security issue since 2003 indicates risk management through contingency. I argue that what the Copenhagen School has studied as the ‘failed securitization’ of climate change and a lack of extraordinary measures to curb greenhouse gas emissions are better understood as the ‘climatization’ of security. The governmental rationale since 2007 has been to prepare for and manage the ‘inevitable’ primary and secondary impacts of unmitigated climate change.