he Effects of Negative Population Growth: An Analysis Using a Semi-Endogenous R&D Growth Model
he Effects of Negative Population Growth: An Analysis Using a Semi-Endogenous R&D Growth Model
复制标题
人口负增长的影响：使用半内生 R 进行分析
DOI：
10.1017/s1365100515000991
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发表时间：
2016
影响因子：
0.9
通讯作者：
Hiroaki Sasaki and Keisuke Hoshida
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Kenichiro Ikeshita;Hideaki Uchida;池下研一郎，大住圭介，中村保，劉金昊;Kenichiro Ikeshita and Hideaki Uchida;池下研一郎;池下研一郎;Hiroaki Sasaki and Keisuke Hoshida
本研究使用半内生研发 (R&D) 增长模型调查了人口负增长时的技术进步率、总产出增长率和人均产出增长率。分析表明，在有限的时间范围内，最终产品部门的就业份额达到统一，研发部门的就业份额达到零；因此，技术进步率趋于零。在这种情况下，人均产出增长率逐渐逼近正值。
This study investigates the rates of technological progress, total output growth, and per capita output growth when population growth is negative using a semiendogenous research and development (R&D) growth model. The analysis shows that within a finite time horizon, the employment share of the final goods sector reaches unity and that of the R&D sector reaches zero; accordingly, the rate of technological progress tends toward zero. In this case, the growth rate of per capita output asymptotically approaches a positive value.