Depressive symptoms are associated with unrealistic negative predictions of future life events
Depressive symptoms are associated with unrealistic negative predictions of future life events
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DOI：
10.1016/j.brat.2005.07.001
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发表时间：
2006-06-01
影响因子：
4.1
通讯作者：
DeRubeis, RJ
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Strunk, DR;Lopez, H;DeRubeis, RJ
本研究探讨了抑郁症状与未来生活事件预测偏差之间的关系。响应互联网公告，153名参与者在自我报告的抑郁症状严重程度方面差异很大，估计在随后的30天内发生40起事件的概率。30天后，参与者报告发生了哪些事件。乐观/悲观偏见与抑郁症状水平有关。一个非显着的乐观偏见的特点是低抑郁症状的参与者，而一个显着的悲观偏见的特点是高抑郁症状的参与者。那些报告轻度症状的人没有表现出系统的悲观或乐观偏见。不良事件预测的一般不精确性与抑郁症状有关。这些发现表明，抑郁症与悲观偏见有关，而不是判断的准确性。(c)2005爱思唯尔有限公司保留所有权利。
This study examined the relationship between depressive symptoms and bias in the prediction of future life events. Responding to internet announcements, 153 participants varying widely in self-reported depression symptom severity estimated the probability of 40 events occurring over the succeeding 30 days. After the 30-day period, participants reported which events occurred. Optimistic/pessimistic biases were related to level of depressive symptoms. A non-significant optimistic bias characterized participants with low depressive symptoms whereas a significant pessimistic bias characterized participants with high depressive symptoms. Those reporting mild symptoms did not exhibit a systematic pessimistic or optimistic bias. General imprecision in predictions for undesirable events was associated with depressive symptoms. These findings suggest that depression is associated with pessimistic bias rather than accuracy in judgment. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.