Artificial Intelligence and Jobs: Evidence from Online Vacancies

Artificial Intelligence and Jobs: Evidence from Online Vacancies
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人工智能和工作:来自在线职位空缺的证据

DOI:
10.1086/718327
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发表时间:
2022-04-01
影响因子:
3.8
通讯作者:
Restrepo, Pascual
Restrepo, Pascual
中科院分区:
经济学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Acemoglu, Daron;Autor, David;Restrepo, Pascual

文献摘要

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我们研究了人工智能(AI)对劳动力市场的影响,使用的是2010年以后美国在线空缺职位的企业级数据。在2010-18年期间,人工智能相关的职位空缺迅速增长,这是由其工人从事与人工智能当前能力兼容的任务的企业推动的。随着这些暴露于人工智能的企业采用人工智能,它们同时减少了非人工智能职位的招聘,并改变了剩余职位的技能要求。虽然在企业层面可以看到,但人工智能劳动力替代对就业和工资增长的总体影响在更暴露的职业和行业中目前太小,无法检测。
We study the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on labor markets using establishment-level data on the near universe of online vacancies in the United States from 2010 onward. There is rapid growth in AI-related vacancies over 2010-18 that is driven by establishments whose workers engage in tasks compatible with AI's current capabilities. As these AI-exposed establishments adopt AI, they simultaneously reduce hiring in non-AI positions and change the skill requirements of remaining postings. While visible at the establishment level, the aggregate impacts of AI-labor substitution on employment and wage growth in more exposed occupations and industries is currently too small to be detectable.