Natural Disasters and Social Order: Modeling Crime Outcomes in Florida
Natural Disasters and Social Order: Modeling Crime Outcomes in Florida
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自然灾害和社会秩序：佛罗里达州犯罪结果建模
DOI：
10.1177/028072700902700102
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发表时间：
2009
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
S. Brody
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Zahran;T. Shelley;L. Peek;S. Brody
本研究分析了佛罗里达县规模的犯罪结果的空间分布作为自然灾害的函数。使用了地理信息系统和条件固定效应负二项统计技术。分析了四种犯罪结果：指数犯罪、财产犯罪、暴力犯罪和家庭暴力犯罪。调整社会人口和社会秩序变量，我们发现，自然灾害显着降低报告指数，财产和暴力犯罪的水平，但显着增加报告的家庭暴力犯罪的预期计数。
This study analyzes the spatial distribution of crime outcomes at the county scale in Florida as a function of natural disasters. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and conditional fixed effects negative binomial statistical techniques are used. Four crime outcomes are analyzed: index crimes, property crimes, violent crimes, and domestic violence crimes. Adjusting for socio-demographic and social order variables, we find that natural disasters significantly decrease levels of reported index, property, and violent crimes, but significantly increase the expected count of reported domestic violence crimes.