We Can Work it Out: The Impact of Technological Change on the Demand for Low-Skill Workers
We Can Work it Out: The Impact of Technological Change on the Demand for Low-Skill Workers
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我们可以解决这个问题：技术变革对低技能工人需求的影响
DOI：
10.1111/j.0036-9292.2004.00322.x
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发表时间：
2004
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
A. Manning
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. Manning
毫无疑问，技术对改变我们人类的工作任务产生了最深远的影响。长期以来，经济学家一直在推测技术变革如何影响对劳动力的整体绝对需求和对不同类型劳动力的相对需求。近年来，关于当前技术对劳动力需求的影响，技术偏向技术变革的观点已成为共识，即技术变革导致对熟练劳动力的需求相对于非熟练劳动力的需求增加，这为低技能工人的就业前景描绘了一个黯淡的未来。但是，根据Autor， Levy和Murnane（2003）最近的一篇关于技术对不同类型技能需求的影响的论文，这篇论文认为，对最低技能工作的需求可能正在增长。但是，有人认为，低技能工人的就业越来越依赖于与高技能工人的物理距离，从长远来看，也可能容易受到进一步技术发展的影响。
There is little doubt that technology has had the most profound effect on altering the tasks that we humans do in our jobs. Economists have long speculated on how technical change affects both the absolute demand for labour as a whole and the relative demands for different types of labour. In recent years, the idea of skill-biased technical change has become the consensus view about the current impact of technology on labour demand, namely that technical change leads to an increase in the demand for skilled relative to unskilled labour painting a bleak future for the employment prospects of less-skilled workers. But, drawing on a recent paper by Autor, Levy and Murnane (2003) about the impact of technology on the demand for different types of skills, this paper argues that the demand in the least-skilled jobs may be growing. But, it is argued that employment of the less-skilled is increasingly dependent on physical proximity to the more-skilled and may also be vulnerable in the long-run to further technological developments.