The Economic Impact of Herd Behavior in the Japanese Loan Market
The Economic Impact of Herd Behavior in the Japanese Loan Market
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DOI:
10.1016/j.pacfin.2012.01.002
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发表时间:
2010-05
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Ryuichi Nakagawa;H. Oiwa;F. Takeda
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
Ryuichi Nakagawa;H. Oiwa;F. Takeda
This paper investigates whether inefficient herd behavior of Japanese financial institutions in the domestic loan market affected the real economy during the period between 1975 and 1999. By using Japanese loan data, arranged by geographical area, we show that loans stemming from inefficient herd behavior of Japanese financial institutions tended to have destabilizing effects on the GDP and land prices in the following years, while ordinary loans of those financial institutions had a more positive impact. Our results indicate that the deterioration of the real economy in the 1990s may have been attributable partly to the inefficient herd behavior in the Japanese loan market during the period of the economic bubble in the late 1980s.