Climate Change adapted simulation weather data : implications for cities in hot , arid climates of the Middle East
Climate Change adapted simulation weather data : implications for cities in hot , arid climates of the Middle East
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发表时间：
2010
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通讯作者：
M. Jentsch;P. James;A. Bahaj
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作者：
M. Jentsch;P. James;A. Bahaj
气候变化是人类住区和建筑物面临的一个重大挑战，这些住区和建筑物可能无法在预计的未来夏季高温下发挥作用。中东炎热干旱的气候尤其如此，政府间气候变化专门委员会预测，在假设化石燃料密集型和非化石能源混合使用的排放情景下，到21世纪末，夏季平均气温将上升2.5至5 °C。因此，评估未来建筑性能和夏季相关冷负荷变得越来越重要。然而，适合此目的的数据却很稀缺。本文提出了一种工具，用于使用英国哈德利中心生成的气候模型输出将现有的建筑性能模拟行业标准天气数据转换为适应气候变化的天气数据。使用此工具生成的天气数据针对中东选定的城市进行了调查，特别关注未来潜在的冷负荷需求。
Climate change represents a significant challenge for human settlements and buildings which may fail to perform under the predicted future higher summer temperatures. This is the case in particular for the hot, arid climates of the Middle East where the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projects an average summer temperature rise of between 2.5 and 5 °C by the end of the 21st century for an emissions scenario assuming a mix of fossil fuel intensive and non-fossil energy sources. Therefore, it is becoming increasingly important to assess the future building performance and the associated cooling loads during the summer months. However, data suitable for this purpose is scarce. This paper presents a tool for transforming existing industry standard weather data for building performance simulation into climate change adapted weather data using climate model outputs generated by the UK Hadley Centre. Weather data generated with this tool is investigated for selected cities in the Middle East with a specific focus on the potential future cooling load requirements.