China's Bilateral Relations, Order Transition, and the Indo-Pacific Dynamics
China's Bilateral Relations, Order Transition, and the Indo-Pacific Dynamics
复制标题
中国双边关系、秩序变迁与印太动态
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2023
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Kai He
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Feng Liu;Kai He
文章摘要：中美之间力量对比的变化和战略竞争的加剧加速了国际体系的秩序变迁。秩序过渡的性质和过程，无论是和平还是对抗，在很大程度上取决于中国如何与美国和该地区的其他参与者，特别是澳大利亚、日本和印度互动。在这篇文章中，我们引入了一个“利益-威胁关系”模型，以解释为什么中国与该地区的主要参与者形成了不同类型的双边关系。我们认为，中国的双边关系是由两个感性因素：安全威胁和经济利益。威胁感知决定了两国关系的“身份”特征是伙伴关系还是竞争关系，而两国关系的“行为”特征是合作还是竞争，则在很大程度上受到两国经济利益的影响。对中国与主要地区参与者的双边关系进行系统而细致的分析，将有助于我们理解印度太平洋地区秩序转型的动态变化。
Abstract:The shifting balance of power and the growing strategic competition between China and the United States have accelerated the order transition in the international system. The nature and process of the order transition, peacefully or confrontationally, largely depend on how China interacts with the United States and other players in the region, especially Australia, Japan, and India. In this article, we introduce an "interest-threat nexus" model to shed some light on why China has formed different types of bilateral relations with key players in the region. We argue that China's bilateral relations are shaped by two perceptual factors: security threat and economic interest. While the threat perception shapes the "identity" feature of the bilateral relationship as partnership or rivalry, the "behavioral" feature of the relationship—cooperative or competitive in action—is largely influenced by the economic interests between the two countries. A systematic and nuanced analysis of China's bilateral relations with major regional players will help us to understand the changing dynamics of the order transition in the Indo Pacific.