Population-Based Study of ABCD2 Score, Carotid Stenosis, and Atrial Fibrillation for Early Stroke Prediction After Transient Ischemic Attack The North Dublin TIA Study

Population-Based Study of ABCD2 Score, Carotid Stenosis, and Atrial Fibrillation for Early Stroke Prediction After Transient Ischemic Attack The North Dublin TIA Study
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DOI:
10.1161/strokeaha.109.571844
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发表时间:
2010-05-01
期刊:
影响因子:
8.3
通讯作者:
Kelly, Peter J.
Kelly, Peter J.
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Sheehan, Orla C.;Kyne, Lorraine;Kelly, Peter J.

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背景和目的:短暂性脑缺血发作(TIA)的病因学数据和ABCD(2)评分可能改善早期卒中风险预测,但需要在人群队列中进行研究。我们调查了ABCD(2)评分、颈动脉狭窄和房颤预测TIA后早期复发性卒中的外部效度。方法:通过重叠医院和社区来源,确定北都柏林城市人群(N=294 529)中TIA患者。结果在确诊的TIA病例中(n=443),颈动脉狭窄预测90天卒中(危险比=2.56; 95% CI,1.27 ~ 5.15,P=0.003)。卒中风险随着颈动脉狭窄程度的增加而增加,范围为5.4%(95%CI,3.3%至8.7%),
Background and Purpose-Transient ischemic attack (TIA) etiologic data and the ABCD(2) score may improve early stroke risk prediction, but studies are required in population-based cohorts. We investigated the external validity of the ABCD(2) score, carotid stenosis, and atrial fibrillation for prediction of early recurrent stroke after TIA.Methods-Patients with TIA in the North Dublin city population (N=294 529) were ascertained by using overlapping hospital and community sources. The relations between individual ABCD(2) items, carotid stenosis, atrial fibrillation, and early stroke were examined.Results-In confirmed TIA cases (n=443), carotid stenosis predicted 90-day stroke (hazard ratio=2.56; 95% CI, 1.27 to 5.15, P=0.003). Stroke risk rose with increasing grade of carotid stenosis, ranging from 5.4% (95% CI, 3.3% to 8.7%) with