Can adolescents predict significant life events?
Can adolescents predict significant life events?
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DOI：
10.1016/j.jadohealth.2007.03.014
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发表时间：
2007-08-01
影响因子：
7.6
通讯作者：
Fischhoff, Baruch
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
de Bruin, Wandi Bruine;Parker, Andrew M.;Fischhoff, Baruch
我们研究了青少年对重大生活事件的概率判断是否具有预测性和准确性。我们发现显着的相关性与实际经验，连续波的全国调查报告。平均概率判断近似观察到的结果率，或乐观，除了青少年大大高估了他们过早死亡的概率。(C)2007年，为青少年医学。All rights reserved.
We examine whether adolescents' probability judgments for significant life events are predictive and accurate. We find significant correlations with actual experiences, reported on successive waves of a national survey. Mean probability judgments approximated observed outcome rates, or were optimistic, except that adolescents greatly overestimated their probability of dying prematurely. (C) 2007 Society for Adolescent Medicine. All rights reserved.