Mangrove ecosystem collapse during predicted sea-level rise: Holocene analogues and implications

Mangrove ecosystem collapse during predicted sea-level rise: Holocene analogues and implications
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发表时间:
1991-01
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通讯作者:
J. Ellison;D. Stoddart
J. Ellison;D. Stoddart
中科院分区:
地球科学4区
文献类型:
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作者:
J. Ellison;D. Stoddart

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对全新世海平面变化期间红树林生态系统的地层记录的回顾表明,在预计未来50年相对海平面上升期间,低岛屿将特别容易受到1088个红树林生态系统的影响。这些地区的红树林生态系统可以跟上海平面每100年上升8-9厘米的速度,但如果海平面每100年上升12厘米,则无法持续下去。这是由于红树林区以外的河流或土壤侵蚀源等来源有限,沉积物积累率较低。造成红树林持久存在的其他因素是森林的初级生产率、由于水深和水流更急造成的海岸线侵蚀以及热带风暴的频率和强度。
Review of the stratigraphic record of mangrove ecosystems during sea-level changes of the Holocene shows that low islands will be particularly vulnerable to the 1088 of mangrove ecosystems during the rises of relative sea-level projected for the next 50 years. Mangrove ecosystems in these locations could keep up with a sea-level rise of up to 8-9 cm/100 years, but at rates of over 12 cm/100 years could not persist. This is due to low rates of sediment accumulation with limited sources from outside the mangrove zone such as from rivers or soil erosion sources. Other factors contributing to mangrove persistence are the primary production rate of forests, shoreline erosion due to deeper and more turbulent water and the frequency and intensity of tropical storms.