CO2 emissions, energy consumption, trade and income: A comparative analysis of China and India
CO2 emissions, energy consumption, trade and income: A comparative analysis of China and India
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DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2011.12.010
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发表时间：
2012-03-01
期刊：
影响因子：
9
通讯作者：
Liu, Ying
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Jayanthakumaran, Kankesu;Verma, Reetu;Liu, Ying
为了防止地球生物圈的不稳定，必须迅速而显著地减少二氧化碳的排放。为了了解减少全球排放所需的过程，需要了解各个国家二氧化碳排放的原因。中国和印度是两个最大的转型国家和增长经济体，但就增长、贸易和能源使用的结构变化而言，它们属于两个完全不同的类别。近年来，燃烧化石燃料产生的二氧化碳排放量显著增加。本文使用协整的边界检验方法和ARDL方法对中国和印度进行比较，以检验增长、贸易、能源使用和内生决定的结构性断裂之间的长期和短期关系。中国的二氧化碳排放受人均收入、结构变化和能源消耗的影响。在结构变化和二氧化碳排放方面，印度无法建立类似的因果关系，因为印度的非正规经济规模远远大于中国。印度拥有大量的微型企业，这些企业能耗低，在进入国际市场方面没有足够的竞争力。了解这些截然不同的情景是就影响这两个国家的气候变化问题达成国际协议的先决条件。(C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd.版权所有。
In order to prevent the destabilisation of the Earth's biosphere, CO2 emissions must be reduced quickly and significantly. The causes of CO2 emissions by individual countries need to be apprehended in order to understand the processes required for reducing emissions around the globe. China and India are the two largest transitional countries and growing economies, but are in two entirely different categories in terms of structural changes in growth, trade and energy use. CO2 emissions from the burning of fossil fuels have significantly increased in the recent past. This paper compares China and India using the bounds testing approach to cointegration and the ARDL methodology to test the long- and short-run relationships between growth, trade, energy use and endogenously determined structural breaks. The CO2 emissions in China were influenced by per capita income, structural changes and energy consumption. A similar causal connection cannot be established for India with regard to structural changes and CO2 emissions, because India's informal economy is much larger than China's. India possesses an extraordinarily large number of micro-enterprises that are low energy consumers and not competitive enough to reach international markets. Understanding these contrasting scenarios is prerequisite to reaching an international agreement on climate change affecting these two countries. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.