Fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c as risk factors for Type 2 diabetes

Fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c as risk factors for Type 2 diabetes
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DOI:
10.1111/j.1464-5491.2008.02572.x
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发表时间:
2008-10-01
期刊:
影响因子:
3.5
通讯作者:
Akimoto, Kimihiko
Akimoto, Kimihiko
中科院分区:
医学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Inoue, Kazuo;Matsumoto, Masatoshi;Akimoto, Kimihiko

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目的采用美国糖尿病协会(ADA)新的空腹血糖(FPG)标准和糖化血红蛋白(HbA(1c))下限临界值,探讨FPG和HbA(1c)联合预测糖尿病的价值(55 884人-年),基线时平均年龄为53.0岁。糖尿病的累积发病率(定义为FPG ≥ 7.0 mmol/l或临床诊断的糖尿病)被测量。结果在平均5.5年的随访期内,糖尿病的累积发病率和发病密度分别为3.7%(368例)和6.6/1000人年。空腹血糖受损(IFG)和HbA(1c)5.5-6.4%受试者的糖尿病累积发生率为24.8%(172/694人),而0.4%(25/6698人),2.5%(15/605人),7.6%空腹血糖(NFG)正常且HbA(1c)<5.5%,NFG和HbA(1c)5.5-6.4%,IFG和HbA(1c)<5.5%者156例。调整可能的混杂因素后,糖尿病的风险比为7.4(95%置信区间,4.70 - 11.74)对于NFG和HbA(1c)5.5- 6.4%的患者,14.4 IFG < 5.5%和HbA 1c <38.4%的患者的平均血糖(11.93 ~ 27.79 IFG和HbA(1c)5.5- 6.4%的患者,FPG和HbA(1c)的比值为(24.63 ~ 59.88)。在新的ADA标准FPG和比先前研究更低的HbA(1c)临界点下,确定了有进展为2型糖尿病风险的个体。
Aims We examined the value of combining fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and glycated haemoglobin (HbA(1c)) as a predictor of diabetes, using the new American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria of FPG and lower cut-off point of HbA(1c).Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted from 1998 to 2006, inclusive, in 10 042 persons (55 884 person-years), with a mean age of 53.0 years at baseline. The cumulative incidence of diabetes (defined either as an FPG >= 7.0 mmol/l or as clinically diagnosed diabetes) was measured.Results The cumulative incidence and incidence density of diabetes were 3.7% (368 cases) and 6.6/1000 person-years over a mean follow-up period of 5.5 years. The cumulative incidence of diabetes in subjects with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and HbA(1c) 5.5-6.4% was 24.8% (172/694 persons) compared with 0.4% (25/6698 persons), 2.5% (15/605 persons), 7.6% (156/2045 persons) in those with normal fasting glucose (NFG) and HbA(1c) < 5.5%, NFG and HbA(1c) 5.5-6.4% and IFG and HbA(1c) < 5.5%, respectively. The hazard ratio for diabetes, adjusted for possible confounders, was 7.4 (95% confidence interval, 4.70 to 11.74) for those with NFG and HbA(1c) 5.5-6.4%, 14.4 (11.93 to 27.79) for those with IFG and HbA(1c) < 5.5% and 38.4 (24.63 to 59.88) for those with IFG and HbA(1c) 5.5-6.4%.Conclusions The combination of FPG and HbA(1c) identifies individuals who are at risk of progression to Type 2 diabetes at the new ADA criteria of FPG and a lower cut-off point of HbA(1c) than previous studies.