Correct Voting in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Nominating Elections
Correct Voting in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Nominating Elections
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2008 年美国总统提名选举的正确投票
DOI：
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
R. Lau
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
R. Lau
对美国政党选择候选人的制度的批评集中在代表性问题上--选择如何被相对少数的意识形态极端的初选选民所主导，或者在选举过程中早期投票的小州居民如何具有不成比例的影响力。本文增加了一个不同的关注，尽管仍然涉及代表性。初选和党团投票的选民在多大程度上代表了他们自己的价值观和利益？刘和雷德劳斯克的“正确投票”概念适用于2008年美国总统候选人提名竞选。四个原因，预计正确的投票水平将低于党团会议和初选比大选活动进行了讨论。结果表明，美国提名竞选中的选民比大选中的选民表现要差得多，在选择最能代表自己价值观和优先事项的候选人方面，他们的表现往往勉强优于机会。讨论的重点是应提高公民在党团会议和初选中作出正确投票选择的能力的体制改革。
Criticisms of the system by which the American political parties select their candidates focus on issues of representativeness—how choices are dominated by relatively small numbers of ideologically extreme primary voters, or how residents of small states voting early in the process have disproportionate influence. This paper adds a different concern, albeit one that still addresses representativeness. How well do primary and caucus voters represent their own values and interests with their vote choices? Lau and Redlawsk’s notion of “correct voting” is applied to the 2008 U.S. nominating contests. Four reasons to expect levels of correct voting to be lower in caucus and primary elections than in general election campaigns are discussed. Results suggest that voters in U.S. nominating contests do much worse than voters in general election campaigns, often barely doing better than chance in selecting the candidate who best represents their own values and priorities. Discussion focuses on institutional reforms that should improve citizens’ ability to make correct voting choices in caucuses and primaries.