Are Routine Jobs Moving South? Evidence from Changes in the Occupational Structure of Employment in the U.S. And Mexico

Are Routine Jobs Moving South? Evidence from Changes in the Occupational Structure of Employment in the U.S. And Mexico
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日常工作正在向南转移吗?

DOI:
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发表时间:
2020
期刊:
WIDER Working Paper
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Diego Morris
Diego Morris
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Guido Matias Cortes;Diego Morris

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在美国,中等工资、常规任务密集型工作的就业率下降已经得到了充分的证明。有人认为,向墨西哥等低收入国家的离岸外包增加是造成这种下降的一个潜在因素。我们比较了美国和墨西哥181个详细职业类别的就业演变,发现除了少数例外,美国下降的职业在墨西哥也下降了。因此,几乎没有证据表明美国的就业机会正在南移。更有可能的是,共同的冲击是两国中等工资工作减少的原因。
The decline of employment in middle-wage, routine task intensive jobs has been well documented for the United States. Increased offshoring towards lower income countries such as Mexico has been proposed as a potential driver of this decline. We compare the evolution of employment across 181 detailed occupational categories in the U.S. and Mexico and find that, with few exceptions, the occupations that decline in the U.S. have also declined in Mexico. There is therefore little evidence that U.S. jobs are moving South. It is more likely that common shocks are responsible for the decline of middle-wage jobs in both countries.