State panel estimates of the effects of the minimum legal drinking age on alcohol consumption for 1950 to 2002.
State panel estimates of the effects of the minimum legal drinking age on alcohol consumption for 1950 to 2002.
复制标题
州专家小组对 1950 年至 2002 年最低法定饮酒年龄对饮酒量影响的估计。
DOI：
10.1111/j.1530-0277.2012.01929.x
复制
发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Kerr,WilliamC
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Subbaraman,MeenakshiS;Kerr,WilliamC
尽管有强有力的证据支持最低法律的饮酒年龄（MLDA）的有效性，但最近的运动试图引起政策变化，允许18至20岁的人合法购买和饮酒。本研究的主要目的是评估提高和降低MLDA对人均乙醇（EtOH）消费量的影响，时间序列面板比以往任何研究都更长，更准确。使用1950年至2002年美国各州的MLDA和总EtOH消费数据实施人口特征。2002年期间，包括MLDA的降低和提高，表明MLDA增加3年与人均EtOH总消费量的减少有关（减少1.51%），以及啤酒（减少2.31%）和烈酒消费量（减少1.86%）。结论降低MLDA可能会导致饮酒率增加和随后的酒精相关后果。如果消费增加令人担忧，政策制定者应该抵制降低MLDA的运动。
BackgroundDespite strong evidence supporting the effectiveness of the minimum legal drinking age (MLDA), recent movements have attempted to evoke policy changes that will allow 18‐ to 20‐year‐olds to buy and drink alcohol legally. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of both raising and lowering the MLDA on per capita ethanol (EtOH) consumption in longer and more accurate time series panel than any previous study.MethodsGeneralized least squares model specifications controlling for income, unemployment rates, and population characteristics were implemented using MLDA and aggregate EtOH consumption data from U.S. states from 1950 to 2002.ResultsResults from the full 1950 to 2002 period, which include both the lowering and raising of the MLDA, show that an increase in the MLDA by 3 years was associated with decreases in per capita total EtOH consumption (1.51% reduction), as well as in beer (2.31% reduction) and spirits consumption (1.86% reduction).ConclusionsLowering the MLDA would likely induce increased rates of drinking and subsequent alcohol‐related consequences. If increased consumption is of concern, policymakers should resist movements to lower the MLDA.