Cognitive Processes and Societal Risk Taking

Cognitive Processes and Societal Risk Taking
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认知过程和社会风险承担

DOI:
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发表时间:
1976
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
S. Lichtenstein
S. Lichtenstein
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
P. Slovic;Baruch Fischhoff;S. Lichtenstein

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我们的世界是这样构建的,我们最渴望的物质和物质利益被撒上了灾难的种子。例如,寻找肥沃的土地往往会把我们带到洪泛平原,而我们试图使不太肥沃的土地高产,则迫使我们冒着一定的风险依赖化肥、杀虫剂和杀菌剂。维持我们健康的神奇药物带来的副作用与它们的效力成正比,而能量的好处是在受到大量污染物损害的风险下享受的。今天的人们对他们所面临的风险水平有一定的控制,但风险的降低往往也意味着收益的降低。
Our world is so constructed that the physical and material benefits we most desire are sprinkled with the seeds of disaster. For example, the search for fertile fields often leads us to floodplains, while our attempt to make less fertile fields productive forces us to rely, at some risk, on fertilizers, pesticides, and fungicides. The wonder drugs that maintain our health carry side effects proportional to their potency, and the benefits of energy are enjoyed at the risk of damage from a host of pollutants. People today have some control over the level of risk they face, but reduction of risk often entails reduction of benefit as well.