Improved prediction of incident vertebral fractures using opportunistic QCT compared to DXA
Improved prediction of incident vertebral fractures using opportunistic QCT compared to DXA
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DOI:
10.1007/s00330-019-06018-w
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发表时间:
2019-09-01
影响因子:
5.9
通讯作者:
Kirschke, Jan S.
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Loeffler, Maximilian T.;Jacob, Alina;Kirschke, Jan S.
Objectives To compare opportunistic quantitative CT (QCT) with dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in their ability to predict incident vertebral fractures. Methods We included 84 patients aged 50 years and older, who had routine CT including the lumbar spine and DXA within a 12-month period (baseline) as well as follow-up imaging after at least 12 months or who sustained an incident vertebral fracture documented earlier. Patients with bone disorders aside from osteoporosis were excluded. Fracture status and trabecular bone mineral density (BMD) were retrospectively evaluated in baseline CT and fracture status was reassessed at follow-up. BMDQCT was assessed by opportunistic QCT with asynchronous calibration of multiple MDCT scanners. Results Sixteen patients had incident vertebral fractures showing lower mean BMDQCT than patients without fracture (p = 0.001). For the risk of incident vertebral fractures, the hazard ratio increased per SD in BMDQCT (4.07; 95% CI, 1.98-8.38), as well as after adjusting for age, sex, and prevalent fractures (2.54; 95% CI, 1.09-5.90). For DXA, a statistically significant increase in relative hazard per SD decrease in T-score was only observed after age and sex adjustment (1.57; 95% CI, 1.04-2.38). The predictability of incident vertebral fractures was good by BMDQCT (AUC = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.64-0.89) and non-significant by T-scores. Asynchronously calibrated CT scanners showed good long-term stability (linear drift ranging from - 0.55 to - 2.29 HU per year). Conclusions Opportunistic screening of mainly neurosurgical and oncologic patients in CT performed for indications other than densitometry allows for better risk assessment of imminent vertebral fractures than dedicated DXA.