И ЭКОНОМИКА: ПРОБЛЕМЫ И УПРАВЛЕНИЯ SECTORAL AND REGIONAL ECONOMY: PROBLEMS AND MECHANISMS OF CONTROL
И ЭКОНОМИКА: ПРОБЛЕМЫ И УПРАВЛЕНИЯ SECTORAL AND REGIONAL ECONOMY: PROBLEMS AND MECHANISMS OF CONTROL
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部门和区域经济：问题和控制机制
DOI：
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发表时间：
2021
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
A. V. Lukyanov
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Валентиновна Пупенцова;Павел Андреевич Прокофьев;А В Лукьянов;S. Pupentsova;P. A. Prokofiev;A. V. Lukyanov
.由于世界电力消耗的增加，可再生能源（RES）的快速普及以及基本发电能力的丧失，电网将变得脆弱。据说有周期性停电的威胁，这将是不可能控制的。已经进行了研究，旨在评估向可再生电力消费过渡的项目的风险。采用了比较分析、收集和研究资料来源、统计数据分析和综合等一般科学方法。头脑风暴法被用来识别风险。考虑到全球环境趋势，现代能源工业发展的相关性和方向性已得到证明。对可再生能源的分配和使用进行了SWOT分析。识别和评估了向可再生电力消费过渡的项目的主要风险的损害和概率。已经提出了向可再生电力消费过渡的项目的风险管理方法。由于自然、技术、投资、法律的和商业风险很高，俄罗斯不可能完全过渡到可再生电力消费。预计技术风险很有可能影响可再生能源发电结构的建设及其与能源系统的连接。据推断，对于该国的能源系统来说，其高水平的可靠性和随时切换到备用电源的能力非常重要。
. Due to the increasing electricity consumption in the world, rapid spread of renewable energy sources (RES) and the loss of basic generation capacities the electric networks will become vulnerable. There is stated a threat of pe-riodic blackouts, which will be impossible to control. There has been carried out the study aimed to assess the risks ________________ of projects of transition to the consumption of renewable electricity. The general scientific methods of comparative analysis, collection and study of information sources, statistical data analysis and synthesis were used. The brainstorm method was used to identify risks. The relevance and directedness of the modern energy industry development has been proved, taking into account the global environmental trends. A SWOT analysis of the distribution and use of renewable energy was carried out. The damage and probability of the main risks of projects of transition to the consumption of renewable electricity are identified and assessed. There have been proposed the methods of risk management of projects of transition to the consumption of renewable electricity. A complete transition to renewable electricity consumption is found impossible for Russia due to high natural, technological, investment, legal and business risks. There is expected a high probability of technological risks affecting the construction of renewable energy gener-ating structures and their connection to the energy system. It has been inferred that for the country’s energy system, its high level of reliability and the ability to switch to backup power sources at any time are important.