Land use change under conditions of high population pressure : the case of Java
Land use change under conditions of high population pressure : the case of Java
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DOI：
10.1016/s0959-3780(99)00175-2
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发表时间：
1999-12
影响因子：
8.9
通讯作者：
P. Verburg;T. Veldkamp;J. Bouma
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
P. Verburg;T. Veldkamp;J. Bouma
爪哇人口压力的长期增长导致农业用地的扩大和加剧。最近的土地使用变化导致主要农业用地转变为住宅和工业区。一个动态的，区域尺度的，土地利用变化模型的结果，确定这些土地利用变化的空间分布。该模型以土地利用与社会经济和生物物理决定因素之间关系的多尺度模型为基础。历史验证表明，该模型能够较好地模拟土地利用变化格局。假设进一步城市化，1994年至2010年之间的土地利用变化的未来模式进行了模拟。结果表明，最密集的土地利用变化将发生在爪哇的低地地区。
A long history of increases in population pressure in Java has caused agricultural land use to expand and intensify. More recent land use changes caused the conversion of prime agricultural land into residential and industrial area. Results of a dynamic, regional-scale, land use change model are presented, defining the spatial distribution of these land use changes. The model is based on multi-scale modelling of the relations between land use and socio-economic and biophysical determinants. Historical validation showed that the model can adequately simulate the pattern of land use change. Future patterns of land use change between 1994 and 2010 are simulated assuming further urbanization. The results suggest that most intensive land use changes will occur in Java's lowland areas.