The Design and Impact of Western Economic Sanctions against Russia

The Design and Impact of Western Economic Sanctions against Russia
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西方对俄罗斯经济制裁的设计和影响

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发表时间:
2016
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通讯作者:
Edward Hunter Christie
Edward Hunter Christie
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作者:
Edward Hunter Christie

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2014 年,在俄罗斯侵略乌克兰之后,西方国家对俄罗斯实施的经济制裁虽然有意限制,但仍然意义重大,其影响与 2014 年底发生的油价下跌的影响截然不同。爱德华·亨特·克里斯蒂 (Edward Hunter Christie) 认为,这些制裁,再加上进一步制裁的可信威胁,似乎对限制俄罗斯对乌克兰的侵略产生了影响,尽管它们并未导致俄罗斯对乌克兰的侵略。 实地事实的逆转。本文还探讨了一种可能性,即在缺乏其他强制性成分来支持外交努力的情况下,较早实施更强有力的经济制裁可能会对俄罗斯的行为产生更大的影响。
The economic sanctions imposed by the West against Russia in 2014, following the latter’s aggression in Ukraine, were deliberately limited but nevertheless significant, their impact distinguishable from that of the fall in oil prices that occurred in late 2014. Edward Hunter Christie argues that these sanctions, in combination with credible threats of further sanctions, appear to have had an effect in limiting Russian aggression in Ukraine, even though they have not led to a reversal of facts on the ground. This article also explores the possibility that, in the absence of other coercive components to underpin diplomatic efforts, the earlier application of more robust economic sanctions might have had stronger effects on Russia’s behaviour.