Reified Bayesian modelling and inference for physical systems
Reified Bayesian modelling and inference for physical systems
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DOI：
10.1016/j.jspi.2008.07.019
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发表时间：
2009-03-01
影响因子：
0.9
通讯作者：
Rougier, Jonathan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Goldstein, Michael;Rougier, Jonathan
我们描述了所有的方法，称为具体化分析，为联系的数学模型的行为与推断的物理系统的模型表示。我们描述的方法的逻辑基础，石油连贯性的影响评估的数学模型的缺陷。我们展示了如何进行统计分析，可以通过指定的模型，我们有，改进版本的模型，我们可能会构建，和系统本身之间的随机关系。我们说明了我们的方法与一个例子有关的潜在关闭的温盐环流在大西洋。(C)2008年爱思唯尔BY。All rights reserved.
We describe ail approach, termed reified analysis, for linking the behaviour of mathematical models with inferences about the physical systems which the models represent. We describe the logical basis for the approach, based oil coherent assessment of the implications of deficiencies in the mathematical model. We show how the statistical analysis may be carried out by specifying stochastic relationships between the model that we have, improved versions of the model that we might construct, and the system itself. We illustrate our approach with an example concerning the potential shutdown of the Thermohaline circulation in the Atlantic Ocean. (C) 2008 Elsevier BY. All rights reserved.