Large deviation asymptotics for busy periods
Large deviation asymptotics for busy periods
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繁忙期大偏差渐近
DOI:
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发表时间:
2014
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
S. Meyn
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
K. Duffy;S. Meyn
The busy period for a queue is cast as the area swept under the random walk until it first returns to zero. Encompassing non-i.i.d. increments, the large-deviations asymptotics of the busy period B is addressed, under the assumption that the increments satisfy standard conditions, including a negative drift. The main conclusions provide insight on the probability of a large busy period, and the manner in which this occurs. The scaled probability of a large busy period has the asymptote, for any b > 0, limn→∞(1/n)logP(B≥bn)=−Kb, where K=2−∫0λ*Λ(θ)dθ, with λ*=sup{θ:Λ(θ)≤0}, and with Λ denoting the scaled cumulant generating function of the increments process. The most likely path to a large swept area is found to be a simple rescaling of the path on [0, 1] given by ψ*(t)=−Λ(λ*(1−t))/λ*. In contrast to the piecewise linear most likely path leading the random walk to hit a high level, this is strictly concave in general. While these two most likely paths have distinctly different forms, their derivatives coin...