The Ba‘athist blackout? Selective goods provision and political violence in the Syrian civil war
The Ba‘athist blackout? Selective goods provision and political violence in the Syrian civil war
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叙利亚内战中的选择性商品供应和政治暴力？
DOI：
10.1177/0022343314559437
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发表时间：
2015
影响因子：
3.6
通讯作者：
A. Bank
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. De Juan;A. Bank
许多独裁政权有选择地向关键人群提供获得商品和服务的特权，并期望得到政治支持。本文感兴趣的是这一政权战略的影响：在通过这种庇护-附庸网络与统治精英绑定的次国家地区，暴力反对是否不太可能发生？本文利用2011年3月至2012年11月叙利亚内战死亡人数和地理空间分布的众包数据进行实证分析。在选择性货物供应方面，重点关注电力行业。夜间地球的卫星图像用于反映电力短缺时期公共电力分配的空间变化。这些数据得到了 2004 年叙利亚上次人口普查的信息的补充。固定效应 Logit 模型的估计支持了以下假设：在优先获得物质产品方面受到统治政权青睐的分区，暴力风险较低。来自叙利亚各地的定性证据进一步证实了这一假设。
Many authoritarian regimes selectively provide critical segments of the population with privileged access to goods and services, expecting political support in return. This article is interested in the effects of this regime strategy: Is violent opposition less likely to occur in subnational regions bound to the ruling elite through such patron–client networks? For its empirical analysis, the article makes use of crowdsourcing data on the number and geospatial distribution of fatalities in the Syrian civil war from March 2011 to November 2012. In terms of selective goods provision, the focus is on the electricity sector. Satellite images of the earth at night are used to proxy spatial variations in the public distribution of electricity in times of power shortages. These data are complemented with information from the last Syrian population census of 2004. Estimations from fixed effect logit models lend support to the hypothesis that the risk of violence has been lower in subdistricts that have been favored by the ruling regime in terms of preferential access to material goods. This hypothesis is further corroborated with qualitative evidence from Syrian localities.
阿拉伯革命中的城市底层：比较视角中的开罗和大马士革
影响因子：
0.7
作者：
Ismail S
通讯作者：
Ismail S