Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model-II: Redefining the Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model With Septic Shock Phenotype.
Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model-II: Redefining the Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model With Septic Shock Phenotype.
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DOI:
10.1097/ccm.0000000000001852
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发表时间:
2016-11
影响因子:
8.8
通讯作者:
Lindsell CJ
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Wong HR;Cvijanovich NZ;Anas N;Allen GL;Thomas NJ;Bigham MT;Weiss SL;Fitzgerald J;Checchia PA;Meyer K;Quasney M;Hall M;Gedeit R;Freishtat RJ;Nowak J;Raj SS;Gertz S;Howard K;Harmon K;Lahni P;Frank E;Hart KW;Nguyen TC;Lindsell CJ
PERSEVERE, a pediatric sepsis risk model, uses biomarkers to estimate baseline mortality risk for pediatric septic shock. It is unknown how PERSEVERE performs within distinct septic shock phenotypes. We tested PERSEVERE in children with septic shock and thrombocytopenia-associated multiple organ failure (TAMOF), and in those without new onset thrombocytopenia but with multiple organ failure (MOF). PERSEVERE-based mortality risk was generated for each study subject (n = 660). A priori, we determined that if PERSEVERE did not perform well in both the TAMOF and MOF cohorts, we would revise PERSEVERE to incorporate admission platelet counts. Multiple pediatric intensive care units in the United States. Standard care. PERSEVERE performed well in the TAMOF cohort (AUC 0.84 [95% CI: 0.77 – 0.90]), but less well in the MOF cohort (AUC 0.71; [0.61 – 0.80]). PERSEVERE was revised using 424 subjects previously reported in the derivation phase. PERSEVERE-II had an AUC of 0.89 (0.85 – 0.93) and performed equally well across TAMOF and MOF cohorts. PERSEVERE-II performed well when tested in 236 newly enrolled subjects. Sample size calculations for a clinical trial testing the efficacy of plasma exchange for children with septic shock and TAMOF indicated PERSEVERE-II-based stratification could substantially reduce the number of patients necessary, when compared to no stratification. Testing PERSEVERE in the context of septic shock phenotypes prompted a revision incorporating platelet count. PERSEVERE-II performs well upon testing, independent of TAMOF or MOF status. PERSEVERE-II could potentially serve as a prognostic enrichment tool.