Assessing the Welfare Effects of Unemployment Benefits Using the Regression Kink Design

Assessing the Welfare Effects of Unemployment Benefits Using the Regression Kink Design
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使用回归扭结设计评估失业救济金的福利影响

DOI:
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发表时间:
2015
期刊:
Social Science Research Network
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Camille Landais
Camille Landais
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文献类型:
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作者:
Camille Landais

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本文研究了美国的部分均衡劳动力供给对失业保险的响应。我使用了20世纪70年代末至1984年五个州的失业管理数据,并使用UI福利时间表中的扭结,非参数地确定了回归扭结(RK)设计中福利水平和潜在持续时间的影响。我为RK设计的稳健性提供了许多测试,并证明了其有效性,以克服美国数据中UI利益变化的传统内生性问题。我还展示了在动态劳动力供给文献的传统中,人们如何利用福利水平和福利持续时间的外生变化所带来的就业回报曲线的变化来识别UI的纯粹扭曲效应。然后,我使用这些估计来校准UI福利水平和UI潜在持续时间增加的福利影响。
I investigate in this paper partial equilibrium labor supply responses to unemployment insurance (UI) in the US. I use administrative data on the universe of unemployment spells in five states from the late 1970s to 1984, and non-parametrically identify the effect of both benefit level and potential duration in the regression kink (RK) design using kinks in the schedule of UI benefits. I provide many tests for the robustness of the RK design, and demonstrate its validity to overcome the traditional issue of endogeneity in UI benefit variations on US data. I also show how, in the tradition of the dynamic labor supply literature, one can identify the purely distortionary effects of UI using variations along the returns-to-employment profile brought about by exogenous variations in the benefit level as well as in the benefit duration. I then use these estimates to calibrate the welfare effects of an increase in UI benefit level and in UI potential duration.
DOI: 10.1162/qjec.2007.122.4.1511
发表时间: 2007-11-01
影响因子: 13.7
作者:
Card, David;Chetty, Raj;Weber, Andrea
通讯作者: Weber, Andrea