Catch Up: Developing Countries in the World Economy

Catch Up: Developing Countries in the World Economy
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赶上:世界经济中的发展中国家

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发表时间:
2013
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通讯作者:
Deepak Nayyar
Deepak Nayyar
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作者:
Deepak Nayyar

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《迎头赶上》从第二个千年开始,但重点是二十世纪后半期和二十一世纪前十年,从长期历史角度分析了发展中国家在世界经济中的演变。它也许是第一个在跨越时间和空间的如此广阔的画布上讨论这一主题的国家之一。在这样做的时候,它突出了现在发展中国家的主导地位,并追溯了它们从1820年到1950年的衰落和衰落。自1950年以来的60年里,发展中国家不仅在世界人口和世界收入中所占的份额有所增加,而且在国际贸易、国际投资、工业生产和制成品出口中所占的份额也有所增加,1980年后这种增长势头愈演愈烈。本书探讨了这种下降和上升的潜在因素,讨论了工业化和经济增长推动的世界经济正在进行的追赶。分类分析显示,这些国家令人印象深刻的业绩的特点是发展不平衡。国家和人民被排除在这一进程之外。追赶集中在少数国家。增长往往没有转化为改善人民福祉的有意义的发展。然而,世界经济力量平衡的转变已经开始。但发展中国家只有将自身转变为经济增长、人类发展和社会进步齐头并进的包容性社会,才能维持这种增长。他们的过去可以成为他们未来的指针。
Catch Up analyzes the evolution of developing countries in the world economy from a long-term historical perspective, from the onset of the second millennium but with a focus on the second half of the twentieth century and the first decade of the twenty-first century. It is perhaps among the first to address this theme on such a wide canvas that spans both time and space. In doing so, it highlights the dominance of what are now developing countries and it traces their decline and fall from 1820 to 1950. The six decades since 1950 have witnessed an increase in the share of developing countries not only in world population and world income, but also in international trade, international investment, industrial production, and manufactured exports which gathered momentum after 1980. This book explores the factors underlying this fall and rise, to discuss the on-going catch up in the world economy driven by industrialization and economic growth. Their impressive performance, disaggregated analysis shows, is characterized by uneven development. There is an exclusion of countries and people from the process. The catch up is concentrated in a few countries. Growth has often not been transformed into meaningful development that improves the wellbeing of people. Yet, the beginnings of a shift in the balance of power in the world economy are discernible. But developing countries can sustain this rise only if they can transform themselves into inclusive societies where economic growth, human development, and social progress move in tandem. Their past could then be a pointer to their future.