Lockdown Accounting
Lockdown Accounting
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DOI：
10.1515/bejm-2020-0251
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发表时间：
2021-02-09
影响因子：
0.5
通讯作者：
Saltiel, Fernando
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gottlieb, Charles;Grobovsek, Jan;Saltiel, Fernando
我们使用一个会计框架来评估85个国家共同封锁政策的总体影响。我们发现，较贫穷的国家将更多的劳动力投入到不受封锁影响的基本活动中，而较富裕的国家可以更容易地用在家工作取代非必要的工作。封锁产生了收入U型的就业反应：收入分配中最贫穷的五分之一下降了32%，中间五分之一下降了36%，最富有的五分之一下降了31%。折合成年率的GDP在最低的五分之一下降了39%，在最富有的五分之一下降了31%。农业是一个基本部门，是维持较贫穷国家就业和经济活动的关键。
We use an accounting framework to evaluate the aggregate impact of a common lockdown policy for 85 countries. We find that poorer countries devote more labor to essential activities that are unaffected by the lockdown, while richer countries can more easily substitute non-essential employment with work from home. The lockdown generates an employment response that is U-shaped in income: it drops by 32% in the poorest quintile of the distribution, by 36% in the middle quintile, and by 31% in the richest quintile. Annualized GDP declines by 39% in the bottom three quintiles and by 31% in the richest quintile. Agriculture, an essential sector, is key in sustaining employment and economic activity in poorer countries.