Estimates of the True Number of Cases of Pandemic (H1N1) 2009, Beijing, China

Estimates of the True Number of Cases of Pandemic (H1N1) 2009, Beijing, China
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DOI:
10.3201/eid1611.100323
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发表时间:
2010-11-01
影响因子:
11.8
通讯作者:
Wang, Quanyi
Wang, Quanyi
中科院分区:
医学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Wang, Xiaoli;Yang, Peng;Wang, Quanyi

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2009年,中华人民共和国北京共报告了10,844例经实验室确认的2009年甲型H1N1流感大流行病例。然而,由于大多数病例未通过实验室检测得到确认,因此真实数字尚不清楚。使用乘数模型,我们估计发生了大约146万至230万例2009年H1N1大流行感染。
During 2009, a total of 10,844 laboratory-confirmed cases of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 were reported in Beijing, People's Republic of China. However, because most cases were not confirmed through laboratory testing, the true number is unknown. Using a multiplier model, we estimated that approximate to 1.46-2.30 million pandemic (H1N1) 2009 infections occurred.