China's impact on regional employmentPropagation through input-output linkages and co-location patterns
China's impact on regional employmentPropagation through input-output linkages and co-location patterns
复制标题
中国对区域就业的影响通过投入产出联系和同地办公模式传播
DOI：
10.1111/twec.13251
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发表时间：
2022
期刊：
影响因子：
2.5
通讯作者：
Yukiko U. Saito
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Shuhei Kainuma;Yukiko U. Saito
从中国进口的产品如何影响日本当地的劳动力市场？我们使用通勤区作为区域单位来研究这个问题，并通过供应链和协同定位模式分析冲击传播。应用Autor等人提出的方法。（American Economic Review，103，2121，2013）和Acemoglu，Autor等人（Journal of Labor Economics，34，S141，2016），我们研究了进口冲击对区域制造业就业的影响，使用输入-产出表，使我们能够调查冲击对上游和下游产业的传播，并将区域影响与产业协同布局模式联系起来。我们发现，在以往的研究中，没有考虑通过供应链的冲击，特别是对下游产业的积极冲击的区域传播，对当地就业的负面直接影响被低估。例如，日本的下游产业从中国的进口中受益匪浅，因为它们降低了投入价格并增加了就业。与下游产业相比，我们发现对上游产业没有显著影响。我们的研究结果表明，对当地劳动力市场的直接负面影响在一定程度上减轻了同一地区内的下游产业的影响。
How do imports from China affect local labour markets in Japan? We examine this question using commuting zones as regional units and analysing shock propagation through supply chains and co‐location patterns. Applying the method proposed by Autor et al. (American Economic Review, 103, 2121, 2013) and Acemoglu, Autor et al. (Journal of Labor Economics, 34, S141, 2016), we examine the impact of import shocks on regional manufacturing employment using input–output tables which allows us to investigate the propagation of shocks to both upstream and downstream industries and to relate the regional impact to industry co‐location patterns. We find that the negative direct effect on local employment is underestimated in previous studies that do not consider the regional propagation of the shock through supply chains, especially the positive shock to downstream industries. Downstream industries in Japan, for example, significantly benefit from imports from China as they lower input prices and increase employment. In contrast to downstream industries, we find no significant impact on upstream industries. Our results imply that the direct negative effect on local labour markets is somewhat mitigated by effects on downstream industries within the same region.