The Structure of Interest Rates

The Structure of Interest Rates
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利率结构

DOI:
10.2307/1881665
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发表时间:
1940
影响因子:
13.7
通讯作者:
F. Lutz
F. Lutz
中科院分区:
经济学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
F. Lutz

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一、假设,36页。——关于短期利率和长期利率之间关系的五个命题,37页。——二、投资成本的影响,41页。——贷方的可转移性,43页。——两个复杂情况:多种期限,44页;银行作为期限转换者的作用,45页。——三、风险的影响,46页。——四、预期:理性投资者的决策,48页;可能的不一致性,49页。当市场多数参与者预期利率上升时,市场成员之间不同预期的影响,51页;当“市场”预期利率下降时,54页。——五、验证:利率随时间的变动,55页;不同期限收益率的结构,56页。——六、这种分析对以下方面的影响:贴现率对投资的影响,60页;利息与资本边际效率,60页;短期利率和长期利率之间巨大差距的影响,61页;“流动性利息理论”,62页。
I. Assumptions, 36. — Five propositions concerning the relationship between short and long rates, 37. — II. Influence of the costs of investment, 41. — Shiftability on the lenders' side, 43. — Two complications: many maturities, 44; the function of banks as changers of maturities, 45. — III. The influence of risk, 46. — IV. Expectations: the rational investor's decisions, 48; possible inconsistencies, 49. Effect of divergent expectations among members of the market, when the majority expect rising interest rates, 51; when "the market" expects rates to fall, 54. — V. Verification: movement of interest rates over time, 55; structure of yields on different maturities, 56. — VI. Bearing of this analysis on: influence of the discount rate on investment, 60; interest and the marginal efficiency of capital, 60; influence of wide gaps between short and long rates, 61; the "liquidity theory of interest," 62.