"LiveJournal Libra!': The political blogosphere and voting preferences in Russia in 2011-2012

"LiveJournal Libra!': The political blogosphere and voting preferences in Russia in 2011-2012
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DOI:
10.1177/1461444814531875
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发表时间:
2015-11-01
影响因子:
5
通讯作者:
Shcherbak, Andrey
Shcherbak, Andrey
中科院分区:
人文科学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Koltsova, Olessia;Shcherbak, Andrey

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本研究探讨了互联网与 2011-2012 年俄罗斯全国大选之间的关系。与其他研究相反,我们将博客圈视为一个政治因素。我们的结论基于对 LiveJournal 博客平台的研究,该平台以 13 周内排名前 2000 名博客作者的政治帖子样本为代表。使用主题建模算法自动从大约 180,000 个帖子中进行抽样,而对所得 3690 条文本的分析则由 5 名编码员手动进行。我们发现最有影响力的俄罗斯博客扮演着政治反对派媒体堡垒的角色。此外,我们还建立了反对党和总统候选人的每周选前评级与博客圈政治活动指标之间的关系。我们的结果谨慎地表明,互联网上的政治活动不仅仅是线下政治活动的在线投射:它本身可以激发线下政治生活的活动。
This study explores relationship between the Internet and the Russian national election of 2011-2012. In contrast to other studies, we focus on the blogosphere as a political factor. Our conclusions are based on a study of the LiveJournal blogging platform represented by a sample of political posts from the top 2000 bloggers for 13-week-long periods. Sampling from the population of about 180,000 posts was performed automatically with a topic modelling algorithm, while the analysis of the resulting 3690 texts was carried out manually by five coders. We found that the most influential Russian blogs perform the role of a media stronghold' of the political opposition. Moreover, we established a relationship between the weekly pre-election ratings of the opposition parties and presidential candidates and the indicators of political activity in the blogosphere. Our results cautiously suggest that political activity on the Internet is not simply an online projection of offline political activity: it can itself provoke activity in offline political life.