Probable effects of CO2-induced climatic changes on net primary productivity of terrestrial vegetation in East Asia

Probable effects of CO2-induced climatic changes on net primary productivity of terrestrial vegetation in East Asia
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二氧化碳引起的气候变化对东亚陆地植被净初级生产力的可能影响

DOI:
10.1007/bf02348533
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发表时间:
1993
影响因子:
2
通讯作者:
Y. Oshima
Y. Oshima
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Shunji Ohta;Z. Uchijima;Y. Oshima

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模拟了三种CO2加倍气候情景(GISS、GFDL和UKMO)下东亚季风自然植被净初级生产力(NPP)的变化。这三种情景和基线气候数据被转换为10×10米网格。网格化的气候数据与Chikugo模式一起用于评估基线气候和二氧化碳倍增气候下的净初级生产力。东亚潜在净生产量(TNP0)气候估算为154×108t干物质年−1。根据气候情景,预测CO2浓度加倍引起的气候变化将使TNP0增加约9-15%。TNP0的估计增幅将受到气候带转变速度和植被层迁徙速度之间的差异的限制。
Changes in the net primary productivity (NPP) of natural vegetation of monsoon East Asia were simulated under three, doubled CO2‐climate scenarios (GISS, GFDL and UKMO). These three scenarios and baseline climate data were converted to grids of 1o×1omeshes. The gridded climatic data were used together with the Chikugo model to assess NPP under baseline and CO2‐doubling climates. The potential total net production (TNP0) of East Asia was climatically evaluated to be 154×108t dry matter year−1. The climatic changes induced by a doubled CO2concentration are predicted to increase the TNP0by approximately 9–15%, depending on the climatic scenario. The estimated increase in TNP0would be limited by the difference between the rate of shift of climatic zones and the rate of migration of vegetation formations.
Seino Hiroshi:“CO_2 引起的气候变化对日本农作物产量的可能影响”气候变化。
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