Integrating geological archives and climate models for the mid-Pliocene warm period.
Integrating geological archives and climate models for the mid-Pliocene warm period.
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DOI：
10.1038/ncomms10646
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发表时间：
2016-02-16
影响因子：
16.6
通讯作者：
Dolan AM
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Haywood AM;Dowsett HJ;Dolan AM
上新世中期温暖期（mPWP），类似于未来的气候条件，被认为是气候模型预测能力的试验台。在这里，Dowsett等人回顾了我们对mPWP的理解，并讨论了代理数据/模型集成方面的最新和未来进展。上新世中期温暖期（mPWP）提供了一个了解比现在更温暖的世界和评估数值气候模型预测能力的机会。环境重建和气候建模对于理解mPWP至关重要，而这两个通常不同的领域的协同作用已被证明对于确认过去的特征并进而建立对未来预测的信心至关重要。不断开发方法以更好地促进环境综合和数据/模型比较至关重要，最近的工作表明，特定时间（时间片）综合是在mPWP期间探索气候变化的下一个合乎逻辑的步骤，并实现其作为了解未来气候变化的试验台的潜力。
The mid-Pliocene Warm Period (mPWP), analogous to future climate conditions, is considered a test-bed for the predictive capability of climate models. Here, Dowsett et al. review our understanding of the mPWP and discuss recent and future advances in the context of proxy data/model integration. The mid-Pliocene Warm Period (mPWP) offers an opportunity to understand a warmer-than-present world and assess the predictive ability of numerical climate models. Environmental reconstruction and climate modelling are crucial for understanding the mPWP, and the synergy of these two, often disparate, fields has proven essential in confirming features of the past and in turn building confidence in projections of the future. The continual development of methodologies to better facilitate environmental synthesis and data/model comparison is essential, with recent work demonstrating that time-specific (time-slice) syntheses represent the next logical step in exploring climate change during the mPWP and realizing its potential as a test bed for understanding future climate change.