Does one model fit all? Predicting non-relapse mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation
Does one model fit all? Predicting non-relapse mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation
复制标题
一种型号适合所有型号吗?
DOI:
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发表时间:
2021
影响因子:
4.8
通讯作者:
H. Nakasone
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
M. Yanada;N. Uchida;T. Ichinohe;T. Fukuda;J. Kanda;Y. Kanda;Y. Atsuta;H. Nakasone
Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is an established treatment that enables long-term survival for patients with hematological diseases; however, the risk of non-relapse mortality (NRM) is substantial, which makes precise prediction of NRM a matter of clinical importance. Existing models for assessing the risk of NRM in allogeneic HCT include the European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) score [1] and the HCT-specific comorbidity index (HCT-CI) [2], but their predictive accuracy is suboptimal. We recently developed a comprehensive system for predicting NRM after allogeneic HCT during first complete remission (CR1) of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) [3]. After dividing 2344 patients randomly into a training set or a validation set, we first identified and scored five parameters—age, sex, performance status (PS), HCT-CI, and donor type—on the basis of their impact on NRM in patients in the training set. The new scoring system which was named “NRM-J index”, used the sum of the assigned scores to stratify patients into four distinct risk groups. The application of the NRM-J index to patients in the validation set had better discriminative capacity than did those of the EBMT score and the HCT-CI [3]. Despite the fact that the NRM-J index has been developed exclusively for patients with AML in CR1, it is based solely on patientand transplantation-related factors, and does not include diseaserelated factors. This situation prompted us to evaluate whether the NRM-J index is effectively applicable to other diseases, and here we present the analytic results. In this retrospective study, we used registry data collected through the Transplant Registry Unified Management Program, sponsored by the Japanese Society for Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation and the Japanese Data Center for Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation. This registration program currently covers nearly all of the more than 300 transplantation centers nationwide, with a penetration rate exceeding 99% [4]. Patients eligible for this study were those with hematological diseases who had undergone their first allogeneic HCT between 2008 and 2017 from a matched sibling donor, a matched unrelated donor, or an umbilical cord blood (UCB) unit. The UCB unit had to be a single unit containing a total nucleated cell dose at least 2.0 × 10/kg of the recipient’s body weight with at least 4/6match at the antigen level for HLA-A, -B, and -DR, which is in accordance with clinical practice in Japan [5]. Patients undergoing peripheral blood stem cell transplantation from an unrelated donor were not included because this procedure was rarely performed in Japan during the study period [6]. We also excluded patients for whom information needed for calculation of the NRM-J index was missing. The study was approved by the institutional review board of the Aichi Cancer Center, and was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. Informed consent was obtained from each patient. * Masamitsu Yanada myanada@aichi-cc.jp