Growing up in a Recession (Retracted article. See JAN, 2023)
Growing up in a Recession (Retracted article. See JAN, 2023)
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DOI：
10.1093/restud/rdt040
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发表时间：
2014-04-01
影响因子：
5.8
通讯作者：
Spilimbergo, Antonio
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Giuliano, Paola;Spilimbergo, Antonio
历史宏观经济环境是否影响再分配偏好？我们发现，年轻时经历过经济衰退的人认为生活中的成功更多地取决于运气而不是努力，支持更多的政府再分配，并倾向于投票给左翼政党。经济衰退对信念的影响是长期的。我们用来自三个不同数据集的证据来支持我们的发现。首先，我们利用1972年至2010年综合社会调查的数据，确定经济衰退对宏观经济条件的时间和地区变化的信念的影响。我们的规范控制非线性时间段，生命周期和队列效应，以及一系列背景变量。其次，我们依靠1972年全国高中班级纵向调查的数据来证实年龄-时期-队列规范，并研究成年早期经历经济衰退的异质性影响。第三，利用世界价值调查的数据，我们以37个国家为样本，证实了我们的发现，这些国家的公民在历史上的不同时期经历了宏观经济灾难。
Does the historical macroeconomic environment affect preferences for redistribution? We find that individuals who experienced a recession when young believe that success in life depends more on luck than effort, support more government redistribution, and tend to vote for left-wing parties. The effect of recessions on beliefs is long-lasting. We support our findings with evidence from three different datasets. First, we identify the effect of recessions on beliefs exploiting time and regional variation in macroeconomic conditions using data from the 1972 to 2010 General Social Survey. Our specifications control for nonlinear time-period, life-cycle, and cohort effects, as well as a host of background variables. Second, we rely on data from the National Longitudinal Survey of the High School Class of 1972 to corroborate the age-period-cohort specification and look at heterogeneous effects of experiencing a recession during early adulthood. Third, using data from the World Value Survey, we confirm our findings with a sample of 37 countries whose citizens experienced macroeconomic disasters at different points in history.