Choosing the Less Convenient Way to Vote: An Anomaly in Vote by Mail Elections

Choosing the Less Convenient Way to Vote: An Anomaly in Vote by Mail Elections
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DOI:
10.1177/1065912919890009
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发表时间:
2019-12-06
影响因子:
2.1
通讯作者:
Stein, Robert M.
Stein, Robert M.
中科院分区:
法学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Menger, Andrew;Stein, Robert M.

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在选举日之前收到主动投票的人中,近三分之二的人选择亲自退回选票,而不是通过成本更低、更方便的美国邮政服务。为什么?选民如何以及何时选择寄回他们的邮寄选票,对选举的管理和选民对选举结果的信心是至关重要的。对于邮寄投票的选民如何选择退票,我们提供并测试了四种解释,包括投票的社会回报、投票成本、对美国邮政服务的信任以及在竞选活动结束后投票的偏好。我们找到了支持每一种解释的证据,这些解释都受到先前投票历史的制约。
Nearly two-thirds of persons who receive an unsolicited ballot in the mail before Election Day choose to return their ballot in person, rather than through the less costly and more convenient U.S. Postal Service. Why? How and when voters choose to return their mail ballot is consequential to the administration of elections and the confidence voters have in the outcome of elections. We offer and test four explanations for how vote by mail voters choose to return their ballot, including the social rewards of voting, the costs of voting, trust in U.S. Postal Service and a preference to cast a ballot after campaigning ends. We find supporting evidence for each explanation conditioned by prior history of voting.