A nonlinear oscillator describing storm track variability
A nonlinear oscillator describing storm track variability
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DOI:
10.1002/qj.2352
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发表时间:
2014-10-01
影响因子:
8.9
通讯作者:
Novak, Lenka
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Ambaum, Maarten H. P.;Novak, Lenka
We construct a two-variable model that describes the interaction between local baroclinicity and eddy heat flux in order to understand aspects of the variance in storm tracks. It is a heuristic model for diabatically forced baroclinic instability close to baroclinic neutrality. The two-variable model has the structure of a nonlinear oscillator. It exhibits some realistic properties of observed storm track variability, most notably the intermittent nature of eddy activity. This suggests that apparent threshold behaviour can be more accurately and succinctly described by a simple nonlinearity. An analogy is drawn with the triggering of convective events.