Excess all-cause mortality and COVID-19-related mortality: a temporal analysis in 22 countries, from January until August 2020.
Excess all-cause mortality and COVID-19-related mortality: a temporal analysis in 22 countries, from January until August 2020.
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DOI：
10.1093/ije/dyab123
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发表时间：
2022-02-18
影响因子：
7.7
通讯作者：
Demetriou CA
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Achilleos S;Quattrocchi A;Gabel J;Heraclides A;Kolokotroni O;Constantinou C;Pagola Ugarte M;Nicolaou N;Rodriguez-Llanes JM;Bennett CM;Bogatyreva E;Schernhammer E;Zimmermann C;Costa AJL;Lobato JCP;Fernandes NM;Semedo-Aguiar AP;Jaramillo Ramirez GI;Martin Garzon OD;Mortensen LH;Critchley JA;Goldsmith LP;Denissov G;Rüütel K;Le Meur N;Kandelaki L;Tsiklauri S;O'Donnell J;Oza A;Kaufman Z;Zucker I;Ambrosio G;Stracci F;Hagen TP;Erzen I;Klepac P;Arcos González P;Fernández Camporro Á;Burström B;Pidmurniak N;Verstiuk O;Huang Q;Mehta NK;Polemitis A;Charalambous A;Demetriou CA
这项研究旨在调查22个国家自新冠肺炎大流行开始至2020年8月的总体和性别超额全原因死亡率。从2015年1月到2020年6月底或8月，各国每周或每月报告一次全因死亡。2020年，新冠肺炎每周或每月报告死亡人数。2020年超额死亡率的计算方法是将2020年每周或每月的死亡率(观察死亡人数)与同一周或同一月的2015-2019年数据获得的基线死亡率进行比较，方法是：(1)2020年观察死亡率与2015-2019年平均值之间的差异；(2)2020年观察死亡人数与预期死亡人数之间的差异。巴西、法国、意大利、西班牙、瑞典、英国(英格兰、威尔士、北爱尔兰和苏格兰)和美国的全因死亡率较高，而澳大利亚、丹麦和格鲁吉亚的全因死亡率有所下降。以色列、乌克兰和爱尔兰在全因死亡率方面表现出性别差异的变化。截至2020年8月，在一些(但不是所有)参与国，全因死亡率高于前几年。每个国家的地理位置和季节性，以及迅速采取高度严格的控制措施，可以解释观察到的死亡率变化的变异性。
This study aimed to investigate overall and sex-specific excess all-cause mortality since the inception of the COVID-19 pandemic until August 2020 among 22 countries. Countries reported weekly or monthly all-cause mortality from January 2015 until the end of June or August 2020. Weekly or monthly COVID-19 deaths were reported for 2020. Excess mortality for 2020 was calculated by comparing weekly or monthly 2020 mortality (observed deaths) against a baseline mortality obtained from 2015–2019 data for the same week or month using two methods: (i) difference in observed mortality rates between 2020 and the 2015–2019 average and (ii) difference between observed and expected 2020 deaths. Brazil, France, Italy, Spain, Sweden, the UK (England, Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland) and the USA demonstrated excess all-cause mortality, whereas Australia, Denmark and Georgia experienced a decrease in all-cause mortality. Israel, Ukraine and Ireland demonstrated sex-specific changes in all-cause mortality. All-cause mortality up to August 2020 was higher than in previous years in some, but not all, participating countries. Geographical location and seasonality of each country, as well as the prompt application of high-stringency control measures, may explain the observed variability in mortality changes.
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DOI：
10.1016/s1474-4422(17)30299-5
发表时间：
2017-11
期刊：
The Lancet. Neurology
影响因子：
--
作者：
GBD 2015 Neurological Disorders Collaborator Group
通讯作者：
GBD 2015 Neurological Disorders Collaborator Group
影响因子：
3
作者：
Bhadra A;Mukherjee A;Sarkar K
通讯作者：
Sarkar K
DOI：
10.2307/2983331
发表时间：
1996-01-01
影响因子：
2
作者：
Farrington, CP;Andrews, NJ;Catchpole, MA
通讯作者：
Catchpole, MA
影响因子：
9.3
作者：
Jarvis, Christopher I.;Van Zandvoort, Kevin;Edmunds, W. John
通讯作者：
Edmunds, W. John
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Blangiardo M;Cameletti M;Pirani M;Corsetti G;Battaglini M;Baio G
通讯作者：
Baio G