MEASUREMENT OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
MEASUREMENT OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS
复制标题
主观概率分布的测量
DOI：
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发表时间：
1963
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
M. Toda
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
M. Toda
摘要：五个实验一个人的游戏，承诺离散和连续的主观概率分布的有效和有效的措施。所有这些博弈都有一个特点，即决策者的反应与他的实际期望一致，这对他是不利的。测量程序高效、快速。看来，有些程序可以用来衡量不断变化的主观概率。（作者）
Abstract : Five experimental one-person games are derived which promise both valid and efficient measure ment of discrete and continuous subjective proba bility distributions. All of these games possess the characteristic that it is to the disadvantage of the decision maker to respond in a manner in consistent with his actual expectations. The measurement procedures are efficient and rapid. It appears that some of the procedures could be used to measure continuously changing subjective probabilities. (Author)