The economic costs of food self-sufficiency in China
The economic costs of food self-sufficiency in China
复制标题
中国粮食自给自足的经济成本
DOI：
10.1016/0305-750x(89)90248-9
复制
发表时间：
1989
影响因子：
6.9
通讯作者：
R. Tyers
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yongzheng Yang;R. Tyers
尽管自上世纪70年代末以来农业产量激增，但将中国的资源禀赋与其贸易伙伴的资源禀赋进行比较后发现，随着收入的持续快速增长，除非提高国内相对价格，否则食品进口将再次扩大。对将在1990年代实现自给自足的价格政策进行的数量分析表明，每年的净经济成本在国民生产总值的2-3%之间。然而，这些结果对中国快速增长的畜牧业对饲料谷物的依赖所发生的相对未记录的变化尤其敏感。
Despite the surge in agricultural output since the late 1970s, a comparison of China's resource endowments with those of its trading partners suggests that, with continued rapid income growth, food imports will again expand unless relative domestic prices are raised. Quantitative analysis of price policies which would achieve self-sufficiency in the 1990s indicates net economic costs ranging between 2–3% of GNP annually. These results are, however, particularly sensitive to the relatively undocumented changes taking place in the dependence of China's rapidly growing livestock sector on feed grains.