A decade of weather extremes
A decade of weather extremes
复制标题
DOI：
10.1038/nclimate1452
复制
发表时间：
2012-07-01
影响因子：
30.7
通讯作者：
Rahmstorf, Stefan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Coumou, Dim;Rahmstorf, Stefan
最近发生的大量极端天气事件引发了科学界内外关于它们是否与全球变暖有关的激烈讨论。在这里，我们回顾了证据，并认为，对于某些类型的极端天气，特别是热浪，但也包括极端降水，现在有强有力的证据表明，特定事件或事件数量的增加与人类对气候的影响有关。对于其他类型的极端天气，如风暴，现有的证据不那么确凿，但根据观察到的趋势和基本的物理概念，仍然有可能会增加。
The ostensibly large number of recent extreme weather events has triggered intensive discussions, both in- and outside the scientific community, on whether they are related to global warming. Here, we review the evidence and argue that for some types of extreme notably heatwaves, but also precipitation extremes there is now strong evidence linking specific events or an increase in their numbers to the human influence on climate. For other types of extreme, such as storms, the available evidence is less conclusive, but based on observed trends and basic physical concepts it is nevertheless plausible to expect an increase.