GOING HOME AFTER HURRICANE KATRINA: DETERMINANTS OF RETURN MIGRATION AND CHANGES IN AFFECTED AREAS
GOING HOME AFTER HURRICANE KATRINA: DETERMINANTS OF RETURN MIGRATION AND CHANGES IN AFFECTED AREAS
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DOI：
10.1007/bf03214587
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发表时间：
2010-11-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
Polivka, Anne E.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Groen, Jeffrey A.;Polivka, Anne E.
本文探讨了卡特里娜飓风撤离人员返回卡特里娜飓风前地区的决定，并记录了卡特里娜飓风影响地区的组成如何随着时间的推移而变化。使用当前人口调查的数据，我们表明，撤离者的年龄，家庭收入，并在撤离者的原籍县的损害的严重程度是重要的决定因素，是否撤离后的第一年返回风暴。黑人比白人更不可能返回，但这种差异主要与风暴破坏的地理模式有关，而不是种族本身。返回的撤离人员和没有返回的撤离人员之间的组成差异是风暴后头两年受影响地区组成变化的主要原因。卡特里娜飓风与受影响地区的种族构成发生了重大变化（即黑人居民比例下降）和拉美裔人的增加有关。卡特里娜飓风还与老年居民比例的增加、低收入/教育程度居民比例的下降以及高收入/教育程度居民比例的增加有关。
This article examines the decision of Hurricane Katrina evacuees to return to their pre-Katrina areas and documents how the composition of the Katrina-affected region changed over time. Using data from the Current Population Survey, we show that an evacuee's age, family income, and the severity of damage in an evacuee's county of origin are important determinants of whether an evacuee returned during the first year after the storm. Blacks were less likely to return than whites, but this difference is primarily related to the geographical pattern of storm damage rather than to race per se. The difference between the composition of evacuees who returned and the composition of evacuees who did not return is the primary force behind changes in the composition of the affected areas in the first two years after the storm. Katrina is associated with substantial shifts in the racial composition of the affected areas (namely, a decrease in the percentage of residents who are black) and an increasing presence of Hispanics. Katrina is also associated with an increase in the percentage of older residents, a decrease in the percentage of residents with low income/education, and an increase in the percentage of residents with high income/education.