State Dependency and the Limits of Middle Class Support for Democracy
State Dependency and the Limits of Middle Class Support for Democracy
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国家依赖性和中产阶级对民主支持的局限性
DOI：
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发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
Bryn Rosenfeld
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Bryn Rosenfeld
长期以来，学者们一直将中产阶级视为民主化的推动者。本文首次对中产阶级政权偏好进行了严格的跨国分析，系统地调查了专制国家与中产阶级经济关系的重要性。通过对27个后共产主义国家的个人就业历史的详细调查数据，我表明，在独裁统治下，国有部门的职业减少了对民主的支持，尤其是在中产阶级专业人士中。这一结果对于衡量中产阶级和民主支持的变化都是稳健的。我还表明，选择或反应偏差、再分配偏好、共产主义社会化或转型经历都不能解释这一结果。研究结果表明，国家支持的中产阶级实际上可能会推迟民主化。
Scholars have long viewed the middle class as an agent of democratization. This article provides the first rigorous cross-national analysis of middle class regime preferences, systematically investigating the importance of an authoritarian state’s economic relationship with the middle class. Using detailed survey data on individual employment histories from 27 post-communist countries, I show that, under autocracy, state-sector careers diminish support for democracy, especially among middle class professionals. The results are robust to changes in the measurement of both the middle class and democracy support. I also show that neither selection nor response bias, redistributive preferences, communist socialization, or transition experiences can explain the results. The findings imply that a state-supported middle class may, in fact, delay democratization.