Operation "Just Missed": Lessons From Failed Coup Attempts
Operation "Just Missed": Lessons From Failed Coup Attempts
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“错过”行动：政变失败的教训
DOI：
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发表时间：
1994
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Harvey G. Kebschull
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Harvey G. Kebschull
虽然有很多关于政变的研究，但大多数都集中在那些成功推翻一个政府并以另一个政府取而代之的政变上。在本文中，重点是无数失败的尝试。在讨论了1)区分成功和不成功的政变企图以及2)获得失败政变的准确数据之后，分析了失败的原因，参与失败政变的人的后果，以及即使失败的政变也可能对目标政府产生的短期和长期影响。有证据表明，尝试失败的比例正在增加，并提出了这种趋势的原因。
While many studies of coups are available, most focus on those that succeed in overthrowing one government and replacing it with another. In this article, the focus is on the numerous attempts that fail. After discussing the problems of 1) distinguishing between successful and unsuccessful coup attempts and 2) obtaining accurate data on failed ones, an analysis is made of the reasons for failure, the consequences for those who participate in failed attempts, and the short and long term impact that even failed coups may have on targeted governments. Evidence indicates that the proportion of failed attempts is increasing, and reasons for this trend are suggested.