Sometimes you just have to leave: Domestic threats and forced migration, 1964-1989
Sometimes you just have to leave: Domestic threats and forced migration, 1964-1989
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DOI：
10.1080/03050620304597
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发表时间：
2003-01-01
影响因子：
1.3
通讯作者：
Poe, SC
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Davenport, CA;Moore, WH;Poe, SC
在这项研究中，我们探讨为什么人们逃离家园成为难民和国内流离失所者。我们认为，当个人的完整性受到威胁时，他们往往会逃跑。此外，我们认为，他们将逃往他们期望条件更好的国家。我们使用固定效应最小二乘法对汇总的横截面时间序列数据集进行统计分析，该数据集由129个国家1964-1989年的数据组成。我们的研究结果支持这样的结论，即对个人诚信的威胁是导致人们放弃家园的首要因素。国家对个人完整性的威胁，持不同政见者对个人完整性的威胁，以及国家与持不同政见者的联合威胁的措施，每个都对移民生产产生统计上显著和实质性的重要影响。我们还发现，一旦考虑到其他因素，走向民主的国家往往有更多的被迫移民。我们通过确定几个有利可图的领域进行进一步调查来结束分析。
In this study we explore why persons flee their homes to become refugees and internally displaced persons. We contend that individuals will tend to flee when the integrity of their person is threatened. Further, we argue that they will flee toward countries where they expect conditions to be better. We conduct statistical analyses using fixed effects least squares, on a pooled cross-sectional time-series data set, consisting of data from 129 countries for the years 1964-1989. Our findings support the conclusion that threats to personal integrity are of primary importance in leading people to abandon their homes. Measures of state threats to personal integrity, dissident threats to personal integrity, and joint state-dissident threats each have statistically significant and substantively important effects on migrant production. We also find that countries making moves toward democracy tend to have greater number of forced migrants, once other factors are considered. We conclude the analysis by identifying several lucrative areas for further investigation.